Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000535 0.000609 0.000687 0.000777 0.000875 0.000980 0.001100
2026-02-01 0.000419 0.000521 0.000637 0.000778 0.000942 0.001128 0.001352
2026-02-08 0.000341 0.000453 0.000585 0.000752 0.000957 0.001196 0.001495
2026-02-15 0.000285 0.000400 0.000543 0.000732 0.000969 0.001257 0.001626
2026-02-22 0.000248 0.000367 0.000520 0.000728 0.000998 0.001334 0.001776
2026-03-01 0.000220 0.000340 0.000502 0.000728 0.001029 0.001412 0.001927
2026-03-08 0.000193 0.000313 0.000480 0.000719 0.001047 0.001472 0.002055
2026-03-15 0.000170 0.000288 0.000457 0.000707 0.001058 0.001522 0.002170
2026-03-22 0.000159 0.000280 0.000458 0.000727 0.001113 0.001631 0.002363
2026-03-29 0.000147 0.000269 0.000454 0.000739 0.001155 0.001722 0.002537
2026-04-05 0.000131 0.000251 0.000437 0.000731 0.001168 0.001774 0.002657
2026-04-12 0.000117 0.000234 0.000419 0.000721 0.001177 0.001820 0.002768
2026-04-19 0.000108 0.000224 0.000414 0.000728 0.001212 0.001903 0.002935
2026-04-26 0.000099 0.000213 0.000405 0.000730 0.001239 0.001976 0.003089
2026-05-03 0.000086 0.000194 0.000381 0.000706 0.001224 0.001988 0.003155
2026-05-10 0.000075 0.000178 0.000361 0.000686 0.001215 0.002006 0.003231
2026-05-17 0.000068 0.000168 0.000351 0.000682 0.001231 0.002061 0.003360
2026-05-24 0.000062 0.000160 0.000343 0.000682 0.001251 0.002123 0.003502
2026-05-31 0.000056 0.000150 0.000332 0.000674 0.001259 0.002165 0.003613
2026-06-07 0.000050 0.000140 0.000319 0.000663 0.001260 0.002198 0.003712
2026-06-14 0.000048 0.000139 0.000323 0.000682 0.001312 0.002311 0.003933
2026-06-21 0.000045 0.000135 0.000322 0.000693 0.001351 0.002403 0.004124
2026-06-28 0.000041 0.000127 0.000312 0.000685 0.001357 0.002443 0.004237